BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Fayetteville St
Class: 2 Class Rank: 66 Overall: (4-5) Overall Strength = 96.60
Conference: Central Intercollegiate Athletic Association Record: (3-4) | District: 2-01 Record: (4-5)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 09/07/2024 Home W * 105.48 35 31 2 54 ( 6- 5) UNC-Pembroke 8.88 0.18 -4.88
2 09/14/2024 Away L * 91.01 0 34 2 3 (13- 1) Valdosta St -5.59 -15.51 -28.41
3 09/21/2024 Neutral W * * 97.79 31 7 2 142 ( 3- 7) Elizabeth City St 1.18 -2.06 22.82
4 09/28/2024 Away L * * 92.45 18 35 2 33 ( 7- 4) Virginia St -4.15 6.65 -12.85
5 10/05/2024 Home W * * 97.90 27 24 2 74 ( 4- 6) Bowie St 1.30 2.38 1.70
6 10/12/2024 Away L * * 80.80 19 24 2 109 ( 6- 4) Livingstone -15.80 13.96 10.80
7 10/26/2024 Home L * * 81.73 35 38 2 95 ( 6- 4) Shaw -14.88 5.70 11.88
8 11/02/2024 Away W * * 126.87 27 0 2 72 ( 8- 2) Johnson C. Smith 30.26 -19.54 -3.26
9 11/09/2024 Away L * * 95.41 31 37 2 53 ( 7- 3) Winston-Salem St -1.20 -6.36 -4.80
Averages 96.60 24.8 25.6
Best game: 126.87 = 27 point win over Johnson C. Smith
Worst game: 80.80 = 5 point loss to Livingstone
Team stdev: 13.78